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Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?

data as of 2026-05-26 05:39 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Aug 4, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
59¢
NO
29¢
YES
59¢
YesY-NNo
Position$734+$184$549
Holders40−242
Trades137−76213
NO
29¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.1%
+9.4 pp
39.6%
Avg ROI-0.9%
−33.2 pp
32.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.50
+1.03×
×0.47
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.48
+0.96×
×0.52
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$129
+$134
−$4
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.53
0.41
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-32.3%
−133.6 pp
101.3%
Underwater %100.0%
+94.7 pp
5.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %25.8%
−9.6 pp
35.4%
Bot %25.8%
−9.7 pp
35.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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