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Will Trump's approval rating be between 45.0% and 45.9% on May 2?

data as of 2025-04-29 17:21 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$420−$20K$20K
Holders30−6393
Trades464−135599
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate30.0%
−40.4 pp
70.4%
Avg ROI5.0%
+4.2 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.00
+2.02×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.18
+2.20×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$176
$178
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.04
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-68.9%
−71.2 pp
2.3%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %2.7%
−20.8 pp
23.6%
Bot %2.7%
−20.7 pp
23.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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