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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

data as of 2026-07-13 08:49 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K+$9.8K$8.3K
Holders301−35336
Trades2.4K+542.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.0%
+3.9 pp
48.2%
Avg ROI2.3%
+7.6 pp
-5.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.70
−12.92×
×13.62
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.68
−12.69×
×13.37
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.4K
+$7.5K
$7.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.11
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL51.3%
+144.0 pp
-92.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.9 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %46.5%
+12.4 pp
34.1%
Bot %62.4%
+12.8 pp
49.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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