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Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?

data as of 2026-06-24 12:40 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Dec 31, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
17¢
NO
82¢
YES
17¢
YesY-NNo
Position$8+$1$7
Holders3+21
Trades3+21
NO
82¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate66.7%
−13.9 pp
80.6%
Avg ROI7.7%
+0.6 pp
7.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.06
+0.06×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.03
+0.03×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$7
$7
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-3.2%
−3.2 pp
0.0%
Underwater %55.6%
+55.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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