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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10AM ET

data as of 2026-02-16 15:45 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$16K−$56K$72K
Holders191+39152
Trades3.5K−2133.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.9%
−20.3 pp
73.3%
Avg ROI5.4%
+3.6 pp
1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×28.00
+27.17×
×0.83
Top-20 avg cost vs price×25.40
+24.62×
×0.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$60
−$17.1K
$17.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.39
−0.53
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.0%
−127.9 pp
31.9%
Underwater %99.4%
+99.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %69.6%
−9.9 pp
79.5%
Bot %69.4%
−10.1 pp
79.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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