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Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?

data as of 2026-01-08 14:26 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Nov 4, 2020Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
23¢
NO
77¢
YES
23¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3.5K−$7.5K$11K
Holders232+38194
Trades2.4K+9201.5K
NO
77¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.2%
+3.4 pp
53.8%
Avg ROI-0.7%
−14.4 pp
13.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.34
+0.35×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.20
+0.23×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$24
−$57
$82
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-16.8%
−17.8 pp
1.0%
Underwater %60.0%
+23.2 pp
36.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %21.2%
−28.1 pp
49.4%
Bot %21.2%
−28.5 pp
49.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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