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Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 16?

data as of 2026-07-14 04:38 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 16, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
2¢
NO
98¢
YES
2¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3−$261$264
Holders2+11
Trades202
NO
98¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate31.5%
−64.4 pp
95.9%
Avg ROI-2.7%
−3.8 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.50
−0.51×
×1.01
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.52
−0.49×
×1.01
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$261
$264
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL92.2%
+93.1 pp
-1.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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