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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

data as of 2026-03-15 00:45 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$16K−$6.0K$22K
Holders283+45238
Trades3.8K−1334.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.7%
−8.5 pp
50.3%
Avg ROI-2.0%
−2.9 pp
0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×50.08
+49.59×
×0.50
Top-20 avg cost vs price×45.85
+45.33×
×0.51
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.5K
−$2.2K
$17.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.00
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.7%
−194.4 pp
96.7%
Underwater %98.2%
+98.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %84.7%
+2.7 pp
82.0%
Bot %84.5%
+2.7 pp
81.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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