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XRP Up or Down - July 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

data as of 2026-07-16 01:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$200−$605$805
Holders28−331
Trades140−3143
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.8%
−12.2 pp
56.0%
Avg ROI3.6%
+1.9 pp
1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.50
+7.61×
×0.89
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.71
+14.83×
×0.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$155
−$198
$353
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.01
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.7%
−108.2 pp
14.5%
Underwater %90.9%
+85.4 pp
5.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %36.0%
−2.4 pp
38.5%
Bot %36.7%
−6.0 pp
42.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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