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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

data as of 2026-07-17 23:58 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.4K−$1.5K$4.9K
Holders98+2870
Trades888+196692
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.3%
−4.9 pp
57.2%
Avg ROI6.0%
−4.3 pp
10.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×34.35
+33.68×
×0.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×31.39
+30.71×
×0.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.5K
−$774
$2.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.10
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.0%
−146.2 pp
49.2%
Underwater %100.0%
+99.7 pp
0.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.9%
−7.2 pp
69.0%
Bot %72.1%
−13.6 pp
85.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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