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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 2AM ET

data as of 2026-01-08 07:32 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$53K+$48K$5.2K
Holders295+178117
Trades2.0K+831.9K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.9%
+8.2 pp
45.7%
Avg ROI-2.6%
−0.8 pp
-1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.63
−16.47×
×17.10
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.62
−16.03×
×16.66
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$989
+$947
$42
Recent buyer dominance0.80
+0.13
0.67
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL61.1%
+155.0 pp
-94.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−96.9 pp
96.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %52.2%
−17.4 pp
69.5%
Bot %45.2%
−20.7 pp
65.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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