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Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 21?

data as of 2026-05-21 07:00 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.0K−$2.8K$3.8K
Holders86+1373
Trades375−19394
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.0%
−10.2 pp
64.2%
Avg ROI20.2%
+14.1 pp
6.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.32
+2.55×
×0.78
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.61
+2.87×
×0.74
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$131
−$707
$838
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.00
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-71.7%
−109.6 pp
37.8%
Underwater %88.9%
+88.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %37.4%
+18.4 pp
19.0%
Bot %44.1%
+25.9 pp
18.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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