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Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 18?

data as of 2026-07-16 05:31 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 18, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO
100¢
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$0−$17$17
Holders2+11
Trades4+22
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.6%
−36.4 pp
90.0%
Avg ROI80.8%
+80.5 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.33
+1.33×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.00
+2.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$10
$10
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-66.7%
−66.7 pp
0.0%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %25.0%
+25.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %25.0%
−75.0 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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