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Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?

data as of 2026-06-18 00:16 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jun 28, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
4¢
NO
96¢
YES
4¢
YesY-NNo
Position$4.7K−$6.1K$11K
Holders169+5164
Trades1.2K−1361.3K
NO
96¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate61.7%
−16.5 pp
78.2%
Avg ROI12.5%
+10.8 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.15
+5.29×
×0.86
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.05
+6.25×
×0.81
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$37
−$331
$368
Recent buyer dominance0.80
−0.20
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-86.2%
−113.4 pp
27.2%
Underwater %99.4%
+98.7 pp
0.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %30.8%
+12.5 pp
18.3%
Bot %22.0%
−6.3 pp
28.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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