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Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on May 6?

data as of 2026-05-05 23:49 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$39−$1.9K$1.9K
Holders48+1137
Trades130+6169
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.7%
−40.0 pp
78.8%
Avg ROI7.7%
+9.0 pp
-1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.13
+1.14×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.20
+1.23×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$125
$127
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-54.8%
−57.4 pp
2.6%
Underwater %67.3%
+63.9 pp
3.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %22.4%
+20.3 pp
2.1%
Bot %38.7%
+36.6 pp
2.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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