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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8PM ET

data as of 2026-04-22 01:00 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$24K−$10K$34K
Holders107−16123
Trades2.0K+1101.9K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.5%
−1.6 pp
52.1%
Avg ROI0.6%
−6.0 pp
6.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.35
−72.65×
×73.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.33
−67.07×
×67.40
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.2K
−$460
$2.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.84
−0.06
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL183.3%
+281.8 pp
-98.5%
Underwater %0.7%
−96.6 pp
97.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %48.6%
−7.5 pp
56.1%
Bot %48.6%
−7.5 pp
56.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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