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Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9PM ET

data as of 2025-08-15 01:52 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$21K+$16K$5.6K
Holders44−246
Trades601−62663
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate60.4%
+16.5 pp
43.9%
Avg ROI1.9%
+0.7 pp
1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.66
−22.89×
×23.54
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.65
−25.57×
×26.22
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$540
+$534
$6
Recent buyer dominance0.59
−0.29
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL55.5%
+151.7 pp
-96.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.2 pp
99.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.5%
+10.3 pp
51.2%
Bot %64.4%
+11.0 pp
53.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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