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Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3AM ET

data as of 2025-08-10 07:58 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.1K−$10K$17K
Holders44+440
Trades418−107525
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.8%
−33.3 pp
80.1%
Avg ROI4.1%
+3.3 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×52.50
+51.85×
×0.65
Top-20 avg cost vs price×262.19
+261.44×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$39
+$6.7K
−$6.6K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.74
0.26
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.6%
−150.2 pp
50.6%
Underwater %98.8%
+98.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %58.9%
+16.3 pp
42.6%
Bot %58.9%
+16.3 pp
42.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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