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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17?

data as of 2026-04-17 16:00 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$18K−$297K$315K
Holders121−138259
Trades4.5K−2284.7K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.0%
−27.1 pp
67.1%
Avg ROI5.4%
+4.1 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×118.06
+117.27×
×0.79
Top-20 avg cost vs price×104.86
+104.03×
×0.83
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$247
−$4.4K
$4.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.44
−0.13
0.57
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.0%
−116.4 pp
17.4%
Underwater %98.7%
+98.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %63.2%
+2.2 pp
60.9%
Bot %55.1%
−5.9 pp
61.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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