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Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on April 15?

data as of 2026-04-13 10:26 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$58−$4.3K$4.4K
Holders25−1742
Trades218+28190
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.7%
−43.6 pp
91.4%
Avg ROI-0.2%
−1.5 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.59
−0.39×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.04
+0.06×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$41
−$1.5K
$1.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
−0.02
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-3.9%
−5.3 pp
1.5%
Underwater %37.1%
+2.4 pp
34.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %78.8%
+33.4 pp
45.4%
Bot %58.5%
+13.2 pp
45.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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