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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 16?

data as of 2026-05-16 02:33 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$231−$10K$11K
Holders135−22157
Trades902+416486
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.1%
−33.9 pp
74.0%
Avg ROI5.9%
+4.1 pp
1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.81
+0.82×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.26
+1.28×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
+$1
−$1
Recent buyer dominance0.50
+0.03
0.47
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-50.5%
−52.0 pp
1.5%
Underwater %86.6%
+68.4 pp
18.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %8.2%
−7.2 pp
15.4%
Bot %12.0%
−2.8 pp
14.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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