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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

data as of 2026-05-02 07:20 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.2K−$3.2K$11K
Holders291+82209
Trades2.5K+2712.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.5%
−1.1 pp
55.6%
Avg ROI1.3%
+0.9 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×23.00
+22.38×
×0.62
Top-20 avg cost vs price×21.71
+21.08×
×0.62
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.6K
−$905
$7.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.02
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.4%
−168.5 pp
73.1%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %51.9%
−17.7 pp
69.5%
Bot %53.9%
−15.3 pp
69.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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