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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

data as of 2026-04-30 08:57 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.8K−$11K$14K
Holders137+31106
Trades1.2K−1421.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate35.1%
−17.2 pp
52.3%
Avg ROI0.9%
+0.8 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×11.64
+10.91×
×0.73
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.15
+10.39×
×0.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$958
−$6.5K
$7.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.01
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.2%
−125.8 pp
34.6%
Underwater %89.3%
+89.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %70.4%
−17.9 pp
88.3%
Bot %76.3%
−14.9 pp
91.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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