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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 29?

data as of 2026-04-28 23:24 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$134−$5.8K$5.9K
Holders74−2195
Trades536+30506
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate35.1%
−50.9 pp
86.0%
Avg ROI6.9%
+6.7 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.33
+0.34×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.43
+0.43×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
+$0
$0
Recent buyer dominance0.50
+0.50
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-33.8%
−34.6 pp
0.8%
Underwater %85.7%
+71.8 pp
13.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %13.4%
+9.2 pp
4.2%
Bot %13.4%
+9.6 pp
3.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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