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Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on March 31?

data as of 2026-03-29 20:12 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$189−$44K$44K
Holders40−236276
Trades417−223640
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate30.8%
−36.8 pp
67.7%
Avg ROI-1.3%
+0.7 pp
-2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.80
+2.83×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.74
+3.76×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$6
$6
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.40
0.60
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-78.5%
−80.7 pp
2.2%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.5 pp
0.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %20.1%
−76.2 pp
96.3%
Bot %20.6%
−75.7 pp
96.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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