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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

data as of 2026-02-21 02:40 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$30K+$16K$14K
Holders293−51344
Trades3.8K−443.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.7%
+30.2 pp
27.5%
Avg ROI9.4%
+5.5 pp
3.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.40
−47.60×
×48.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.42
−38.43×
×38.85
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12.6K
+$350
$12.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
+0.01
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL125.7%
+223.0 pp
-97.3%
Underwater %0.1%
−94.9 pp
94.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.5%
+2.6 pp
56.9%
Bot %59.8%
+3.2 pp
56.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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