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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7PM ET

data as of 2025-07-26 23:53 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.0K−$14K$17K
Holders46+2224
Trades378+91287
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.2%
−20.5 pp
66.7%
Avg ROI3.0%
+0.7 pp
2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×19.41
+18.77×
×0.64
Top-20 avg cost vs price×24.72
+24.03×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$117
−$788
$906
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.10
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.9%
−140.8 pp
44.9%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %72.4%
−13.7 pp
86.1%
Bot %72.4%
−21.3 pp
93.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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