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Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 in 2026?

data as of 2026-02-05 05:27 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.2K+$1.1K$38
Holders3−2225
Trades4−5357
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate0.0%
−44.6 pp
44.6%
Avg ROI0.0%
−28.4 pp
28.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.30
−0.50×
×1.80
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.22
−1.74×
×2.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$59
$59
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-18.1%
+52.2 pp
-70.3%
Underwater %100.0%
+11.9 pp
88.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %31.0%
−37.5 pp
68.5%
Bot %31.0%
−40.3 pp
71.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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