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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

data as of 2026-02-02 15:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$46K−$30K$75K
Holders495+16479
Trades8.6K+1868.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.1%
−20.0 pp
58.1%
Avg ROI3.8%
+1.8 pp
2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.77
+14.11×
×0.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.45
+11.79×
×0.66
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.9K
−$8.9K
$15.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.22
0.73
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.5%
−144.9 pp
52.4%
Underwater %99.3%
+99.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %60.1%
−11.9 pp
72.0%
Bot %44.6%
−26.0 pp
70.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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