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Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?

data as of 2026-05-03 08:12 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.5K−$165K$167K
Holders152+9260
Trades1.6K+839795
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.6%
−29.3 pp
88.0%
Avg ROI9.5%
+6.5 pp
3.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.25
+0.25×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.94
+0.95×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
−$478
$482
Recent buyer dominance0.57
−0.33
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-61.4%
−62.3 pp
0.8%
Underwater %99.1%
+99.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %8.7%
−3.0 pp
11.7%
Bot %6.5%
−5.2 pp
11.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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