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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2PM ET

data as of 2025-06-22 11:32 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$25K+$7.1K$18K
Holders25−1035
Trades341−64405
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate70.2%
+20.5 pp
49.7%
Avg ROI0.3%
−29.6 pp
29.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.83
−0.84×
×1.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.85
−0.69×
×1.54
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.0K
+$6.9K
$62
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.13
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL18.0%
+53.2 pp
-35.2%
Underwater %7.9%
−74.0 pp
81.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %78.2%
+1.4 pp
76.9%
Bot %78.2%
+1.4 pp
76.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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