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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

data as of 2026-07-01 22:15 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$15K−$9.0K$24K
Holders314+103211
Trades2.2K+2831.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.1%
−3.5 pp
50.5%
Avg ROI3.9%
+0.5 pp
3.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×40.22
+39.63×
×0.60
Top-20 avg cost vs price×40.26
+39.62×
×0.64
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.6K
−$8.4K
$22.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.05
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.3%
−154.5 pp
57.2%
Underwater %95.5%
+95.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %43.8%
+14.7 pp
29.1%
Bot %46.4%
+15.2 pp
31.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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