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Will Luxembourg win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

data as of 2026-05-13 23:54 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$49−$4.9K$4.9K
Holders24−731
Trades226+92134
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.5%
−44.9 pp
83.4%
Avg ROI2.5%
+1.4 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.24
−0.80×
×1.05
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.22
−0.83×
×1.05
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$132
$134
Recent buyer dominance0.72
−0.28
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL371.6%
+376.1 pp
-4.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %21.7%
−20.1 pp
41.8%
Bot %21.5%
−20.6 pp
42.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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