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Will SP be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?

data as of 2026-01-17 01:07 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$307−$1.5K$1.8K
Holders25+1114
Trades239−96335
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.6%
−7.9 pp
66.5%
Avg ROI8.5%
−4.4 pp
12.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.59
+1.83×
×0.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.34
+1.55×
×0.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$2
+$171
−$174
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−0.11
0.11
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-50.6%
−78.0 pp
27.4%
Underwater %86.7%
+78.8 pp
7.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %20.6%
+16.1 pp
4.5%
Bot %20.8%
+16.3 pp
4.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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