Markets › detail

Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?

data as of 2026-06-02 07:09 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Dec 31, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
9¢
NO
91¢
YES
9¢
YesY-NNo
Position$136−$433$569
Holders18+144
Trades58+499
NO
91¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.9%
−9.1 pp
50.0%
Avg ROI-1.1%
−2.2 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.98
−0.02×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$1
−$19
$18
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL2.1%
+2.1 pp
0.0%
Underwater %17.6%
+17.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.9%
+0.9 pp
0.0%
Bot %20.1%
+20.1 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
Unlock the full panel — $19/moCancel anytime · no signup to browse