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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11AM ET

data as of 2026-07-01 15:06 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Down🗓️ settles Jul 1, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
UP
82¢
DOWN
14¢
UP
82¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.4K+$3.2K$1.2K
Holders51+150
Trades287+33254
DOWN
14¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.0%
−1.3 pp
50.3%
Avg ROI-3.8%
−4.3 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.73
−1.67×
×2.40
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.75
−1.80×
×2.56
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.8K
+$1.1K
$630
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.01
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL33.1%
+93.9 pp
-60.8%
Underwater %0.2%
−99.3 pp
99.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %66.0%
+6.3 pp
59.7%
Bot %66.8%
+5.4 pp
61.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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