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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

data as of 2025-11-12 21:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.2K−$3.9K$10K
Holders88+1276
Trades1.1K+141911
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate35.1%
−28.1 pp
63.1%
Avg ROI-2.9%
−2.9 pp
-0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×37.95
+37.35×
×0.60
Top-20 avg cost vs price×35.74
+35.11×
×0.63
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$840
−$3.3K
$4.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.03
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.1%
−153.5 pp
56.5%
Underwater %98.1%
+97.8 pp
0.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %72.1%
−9.6 pp
81.7%
Bot %62.4%
−10.1 pp
72.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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