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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-01 23:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.2K−$6.0K$9.2K
Holders129−6135
Trades1.4K+631.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.1%
−0.9 pp
53.0%
Avg ROI0.2%
−1.8 pp
2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×27.57
+26.83×
×0.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×23.62
+22.90×
×0.72
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$808
−$1.9K
$2.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.06
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.2%
−136.5 pp
40.3%
Underwater %97.6%
+97.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.2%
+5.3 pp
55.9%
Bot %66.6%
+1.9 pp
64.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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