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Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 14?

data as of 2026-07-13 16:17 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 14, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
13¢
NO
87¢
YES
13¢
YesY-NNo
Position$71−$455$526
Holders22−1537
Trades100+1684
NO
87¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.8%
−51.0 pp
91.9%
Avg ROI10.9%
−12.6 pp
23.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.45
−0.64×
×1.09
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.55
−0.51×
×1.07
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6
−$36
$42
Recent buyer dominance0.83
−0.17
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL84.5%
+90.7 pp
-6.2%
Underwater %14.9%
−73.3 pp
88.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %1.6%
−0.4 pp
2.0%
Bot %7.1%
−16.6 pp
23.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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