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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

data as of 2026-05-11 07:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.9K−$2.7K$13K
Holders420+95325
Trades2.7K−2873.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.5%
−4.3 pp
50.8%
Avg ROI-0.5%
−1.5 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×47.11
+46.57×
×0.54
Top-20 avg cost vs price×44.87
+44.37×
×0.51
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.3K
−$536
$9.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.09
0.84
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.7%
−187.8 pp
90.1%
Underwater %97.2%
+97.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.0%
−8.1 pp
53.1%
Bot %49.6%
−5.5 pp
55.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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