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Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on July 22?

data as of 2026-07-20 08:27 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 22, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
26¢
NO
74¢
YES
26¢
YesY-NNo
Position$127−$391$519
Holders18−1129
Trades55+649
NO
74¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.9%
−37.4 pp
77.3%
Avg ROI9.6%
+6.1 pp
3.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.79
−0.26×
×1.05
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.81
−0.25×
×1.06
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$20
−$45
$65
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.24
0.76
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL22.9%
+28.9 pp
-5.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.8 pp
97.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−13.2 pp
13.2%
Bot %48.9%
+33.5 pp
15.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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