Markets › detail

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

data as of 2026-05-18 07:57 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$24K−$44K$68K
Holders599+303296
Trades11K+7.6K3.0K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.2%
−32.9 pp
77.1%
Avg ROI5.0%
+1.8 pp
3.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.61
+7.86×
×0.75
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.42
+6.65×
×0.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10
−$345
$355
Recent buyer dominance0.55
−0.23
0.77
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-86.6%
−114.3 pp
27.7%
Underwater %99.4%
+99.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %8.9%
−34.5 pp
43.4%
Bot %8.7%
−44.4 pp
53.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
Unlock the full panel — $19/moCancel anytime · no signup to browse