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Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?

data as of 2026-02-01 00:29 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$7.6K−$56K$64K
Holders183+70113
Trades2.9K+1.3K1.7K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.2%
−18.8 pp
77.0%
Avg ROI12.9%
+6.2 pp
6.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×124.00
+123.15×
×0.85
Top-20 avg cost vs price×122.83
+121.98×
×0.85
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
+$313
−$311
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.2%
−117.3 pp
18.1%
Underwater %97.3%
+97.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %29.1%
+13.8 pp
15.3%
Bot %30.0%
+14.0 pp
16.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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