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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

data as of 2026-07-26 04:09 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$968−$972$1.9K
Holders53−457
Trades409+53356
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.2%
−3.9 pp
58.0%
Avg ROI6.2%
−1.8 pp
8.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×15.29
+14.62×
×0.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×14.39
+13.71×
×0.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$429
−$340
$769
Recent buyer dominance0.90
+0.04
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.3%
−138.0 pp
44.7%
Underwater %99.5%
+99.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %32.3%
+7.5 pp
24.8%
Bot %82.7%
+17.1 pp
65.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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