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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

data as of 2026-04-02 01:11 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.3K−$41K$46K
Holders232+2230
Trades2.4K+462.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.1%
−31.9 pp
73.0%
Avg ROI3.2%
+2.2 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.79
+1.86×
×0.94
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.38
+4.44×
×0.94
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$734
−$15.9K
$16.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.06
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-81.8%
−89.5 pp
7.7%
Underwater %85.0%
+79.7 pp
5.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %71.4%
−4.6 pp
76.0%
Bot %72.9%
−3.5 pp
76.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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