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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

data as of 2026-07-20 03:14 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.8K+$314$5.5K
Holders121+17104
Trades1.2K+491.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.5%
+0.5 pp
51.0%
Avg ROI1.0%
+0.3 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.55
−5.99×
×6.54
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.59
−5.46×
×6.05
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.3K
−$766
$3.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.02
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL75.1%
+158.9 pp
-83.8%
Underwater %0.4%
−92.8 pp
93.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %40.5%
−5.0 pp
45.5%
Bot %56.7%
−3.5 pp
60.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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