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Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 34-35°F on March 1?

data as of 2026-03-01 21:19 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$224−$3.5K$3.8K
Holders69−675
Trades383+123260
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate35.7%
−41.6 pp
77.3%
Avg ROI7.3%
+8.4 pp
-1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.19
+6.25×
×0.94
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.09
+6.14×
×0.94
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10
−$465
$475
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-86.6%
−92.9 pp
6.3%
Underwater %98.2%
+97.3 pp
0.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %23.6%
−2.0 pp
25.6%
Bot %24.5%
−0.9 pp
25.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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