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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

data as of 2026-07-16 06:57 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.6K+$2.3K$2.3K
Holders78−27105
Trades690−158848
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.5%
+2.6 pp
52.9%
Avg ROI5.8%
+3.0 pp
2.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.76
−4.87×
×5.64
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.78
−4.13×
×4.91
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.7K
+$1.4K
$333
Recent buyer dominance0.95
−0.01
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL30.4%
+111.8 pp
-81.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.7 pp
98.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.4%
−0.6 pp
65.0%
Bot %77.0%
+4.0 pp
73.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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