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Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

data as of 2025-09-19 11:09 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$163−$462$625
Holders13+310
Trades35+1025
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.3%
−4.7 pp
52.0%
Avg ROI-3.2%
−10.3 pp
7.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.42
−0.46×
×0.88
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.08
+0.16×
×0.92
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$84
−$22
$106
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-7.3%
−15.7 pp
8.4%
Underwater %48.6%
+32.6 pp
16.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %15.1%
−72.7 pp
87.8%
Bot %15.1%
−72.7 pp
87.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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