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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

data as of 2026-05-14 20:13 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.4K−$14K$19K
Holders334+85249
Trades2.2K+1372.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.1%
−1.4 pp
49.5%
Avg ROI2.7%
+2.8 pp
-0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.02
+12.39×
×0.64
Top-20 avg cost vs price×10.33
+9.73×
×0.60
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.1K
−$8.7K
$13.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.01
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.1%
−150.2 pp
59.1%
Underwater %99.1%
+99.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.5%
+2.5 pp
55.1%
Bot %72.8%
+9.1 pp
63.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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